A New Development Model and China's Future
By Yingtao Deng
Foreword by Peter Nolan
Translated by Nicky Harman
To Be Published November 30th 2013 by Routledge – 240 pages
The need for China to find a new, environmentally sustainable development path is accepted widely among Chinese scholars and policy makers. This book makes available for the first time to an English–speaking audience Deng Yingtao's path-breaking book Xin fazhan fangshi yu zhongguo de weilai. Published in 1991, the book was far ahead of its time. Deng subjects the development model of the high income countries to rigorous analysis and explores the environmental implications of China following this model. His clear conclusion is that the carrying capacity of the physical environment and nature is limited, that economic and social development should not exceed the carrying capacity of resources, and that China should not adopt the western development path. Based on insights from economics, engineering and human psychology, the book analyses the environmental impact of the current western development model, demonstrates the catastrophic impact this would have in terms of China's own development and in terms of China's relationship with the world, and argues that China's rich intellectual and scientific tradition will allow Chinese people to play a central role in finding the solution to the profound environmental and development challenges the world currently faces.
Introduction 1. Making a Choice Under Pressure 2. Detrimental Effects of Redundancy Pause 3. Breakdown of Natural Resources 4. The Economy of Waste 5. Humans and Entropy 6. Making a Fresh Start 7. Engel’s Law 8. The Principle of Equivalence 9. Overcoming Barriers 10. A Blueprint for Reconstruction 11. Desperate Measures are Called for
Deng Yingtao is Director of the Economics and Cultural Research Centre of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.